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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $123.97EOD only

Max Pain

$129.00

Next expiry Jun 18, 2026

Expected Move

±$9.62

7.8% from close

Price Gap

+5.03

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

100

High premium

P/C OI

0.95

Balanced positioning

Consensus

6.5/10

Neutral tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 12, 2026 close

MSTR AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

5.5

out of 10

5.5 not higher because despite bullish flow and GEX, earnings risk and Bitcoin correlation create significant downside probability that would undermine the bullish thesis.

Where Perspectives Agree

Near-term bullish bias with pinning near $141 supported by positive GEX and aggressive call buying, but mitigated by tail risks from Bitcoin correlation and low earnings beat rate.

Where They Diverge

Flow suggests bullish call accumulation, while Earnings recommends bearish positioning (iron condor/put spread) ahead of earnings, creating incompatible directional stances.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell 2026-08-21 $120/$105 put credit spread for $0.50 credit

Key Risk

Break below $100 gamma flip zone triggers dealer hedging and accelerates decline toward $90 support, invalidating the bullish pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.