thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $103.84EOD only
Max Pain
$115.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.93
6.7% from close
Price Gap
+11.16
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
7
Low premium
P/C OI
0.98
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because Theta's conflicting bullish put spread introduces uncertainty; earnings in 36 days also adds binary risk despite strong bearish alignment across flow, GEX, and volume.

Where Perspectives Agree

All four personas agree on a bearish outlook for MSTR driven by aggressive put flow, dealer short gamma, and spot trading 18% below max pain, amplifying downside risk.

Where They Diverge

Theta persona recommends a bullish put credit spread despite the bearish consensus, directly conflicting with the directional/flow short bias.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-31 $115/$131 call spread for $1.50 credit — defined risk, profits from premium decay and expected downside.

Key Risk

Break above $100 flips dealer gamma to long and triggers short covering rally, invalidating the bearish thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.