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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $104.25EOD only
Max Pain
$95.00
Next expiry Aug 21, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.44
5.2% from close
Price Gap
-9.25
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
16
Low premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Aug 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Aug 19, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 8 because spot is at $0.00 (data anomaly) and Bitcoin correlation adds exogenous risk, reducing certainty despite unanimous signals.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on bearish outlook: elevated IV, negative GEX, heavy put flow, and spot below max pain favor downside to $75-80.

Where They Diverge

No material conflicts; all perspectives support bearish positioning with similar invalidation levels.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-31 $75.00/$65.00 bear put spread for $2.50 debit

Key Risk

Break above $80 gamma flip forces dealer buying, invalidates bearish thesis and propels spot toward $90 resistance.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.