thetaOwl
HomeOptionsMSTRVolatility

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $164.63EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.28
5.6% from close
Price Gap
+5.37
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
29
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.90
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 19, 2026 close
Historical Volatility — MSTR
Data as of market close May 19, 2026

Volatility regime context for premium pricing decisions. CTA pressure stays medium unless IV percentile, IV-vs-HV spread, regime label, and rich/cheap verdict are all available above the fold.

Volatility Report Bridge
Rich/cheap verdict is supported by IV percentile, IV-HV spread, and regime context above.

CTA strength auto-calibrates from medium to med-high only when above-fold volatility framing is complete.

MSTR Volatility
Regime framing first, then historical context
IV Current
116.2%
Current implied level
IV Percentile
63%
Position in selected lookback window
IV vs HV20
42.0 pts
IV above realized
Regime
Mid-range
IV is sitting in the middle of its recent range.
HV 20d
74.2%
Realized baseline
IV vs HV history
Keep the chart dominant and use period toggles for context windows
250/250 points passed volatility sanity checks
Signals
Premium RichRegime Mid-range
Quick Stats
IV Percentile63%
IV vs HV2042.0 pts
RegimeMid-range
HV 20d74.2%
Consensus

IV is running above realized volatility, favoring premium-selling setups.

Open volatility report context
Latest ratios
P/C Volume0.73
P/C OI0.90
Next Step
Optional follow-through once you have the volatility framing
Want a structure-level read for this regime?View volatility setup details
How to Read Volatility Context
This page compares realized movement with options pricing so you can judge whether premium looks rich or cheap.
What the comparison means

Historical volatility shows what the stock has actually done, while implied volatility shows what options are currently charging for future movement.

How traders use it

When IV sits above realized movement, premium sellers often pay attention. When realized movement catches up or exceeds IV, buyers get a stronger case.

What can trap you

Expensive options can still get more expensive into catalysts, and cheap-looking options can stay cheap when realized movement dries up.

Rich or cheap is a pricing read, not a directional signal by itself.