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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $165.81EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.35
4.4% from close
Price Gap
+4.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
33
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.90
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 15, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 20, 2026.

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Conviction
4.5

out of 10

4.5 not 5 because low confidence across all personas (each 4/10) and the bullish flow is not fully supported by technicals or earnings outlook; conviction would rise if spot breaks above $188 or below $170 with volume confirmation.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish flow and heavy call buying dominate, but negative dealer gamma and resistance near $180 cap upside, creating a mixed pinning range of $170-$188.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows institutional bullishness with +$33M call premium, while directional and theta perspectives highlight negative gamma (-$19.8M) and high IV (308% front-end put) that could trigger sharp reversals.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 22 $170/$168 put spread and $180/$182 call spread iron condor for $1.20 credit — theta ideal for IV crush and range-bound price action before any directional catalyst.

Key Risk

Break below $170 flips dealer gamma long from negative, accelerating downside to the $159.94 put floor — invalidates all bullish positioning and could trigger stop-loss cascade.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.