thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $178.03EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.15
4.6% from close
Price Gap
-8.03
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
49
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.89
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because the conflict between Directional and Earnings on near-term direction (bearish vs bullish) softens conviction; if spot holds above $175, conviction rises to 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on max pain pinning at $170 as the dominant near-term force, with high IV creating premium selling opportunities despite conflicting directional biases.

Where They Diverge

Directional's near-term bearish reversion thesis contradicts Earnings' bullish call accumulation at $200+, while Theta's neutral-bullish stance bridges both but lacks strong directional conviction.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $180/$175 put spread for $0.50 credit

Key Risk

Break below $170 (max pain) flips dealer gamma long, removing pin support and accelerating downside toward $165.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.