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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $166.52EOD only
Max Pain
$140.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$14.83
8.9% from close
Price Gap
-26.52
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.87
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 17, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for April 17, 2026.

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Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 because gamma/positioning creates a measurable magnet to $135 making short-premium trades attractive, but conviction is capped by (1) significant negative net premium/flow that can create one-way hedging flows and (2) an earnings event in three weeks that is a binary re-pricing risk — together these keep conviction from being high.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market positioning and dealer gamma create a dominant pin toward $135 into near-term expiries — concise: neutral-to-bullish mean-reversion around $135 supported by gamma positioning and current option structure.

Where They Diverge

Two clear contradictions: flow/net premium is large and negative (institutional hedging pressure) which directly undermines the pin-by-gamma thesis by making downside tail risk more likely; and the upcoming earnings event on 2026-04-30 creates a reprice risk that can invalidate both directional pins and short-premium plays if IV reprices or the stock gaps through pin levels.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 125/120 put spread, expiry 2026-04-17 for credit (defined-risk bull put spread pre-earnings).

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $120 (sustained sell-through on high flow that flips dealer gamma) invalidates the pin — consequence is accelerated downside toward $115 as gamma support collapses and hedging flows amplify the move.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.