thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $165.81EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.35
4.4% from close
Price Gap
+4.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
33
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.90
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 20, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 8 because earnings 71 days out is distant but still a binary event that could disrupt the pin; higher conviction would require earnings to pass or clearer catalyst.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $170-$180 zone supported by positive dealer gamma, heavy call flow, and high IV environment.

Where They Diverge

Earnings persona's low beat rate (20%) and post-earnings IV crush contradict the directional bullish continuation thesis built on current positioning.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $175/$176 call spread for $0.50 credit — defined risk, profits from pin below $175.

Key Risk

Break below $148 flips dealer gamma long, removes pin support, accelerates downside to $140.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 20, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.