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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $112.53EOD only
Max Pain
$126.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$10.33
9.2% from close
Price Gap
+13.47
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.96
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

5 not 6 because conflicting signals (bearish flow vs. bullish call blocks) and low persona confidence (all 5/10) prevent higher conviction; a break below $90 would reduce to 3.

Where Perspectives Agree

High IV and bearish put flow dominate, but gamma pinning to $116 max pain creates a neutral-to-bearish outlook with limited downside unless Bitcoin breaks.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows heavy put buying and negative net premium but also large $120 call blocks suggesting institutional upside hedging, contradicting the bearish thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Iron condor: Sell 2026-07-31 $105/$100 put spread and $115/$119 call spread for net credit ~$0.80

Key Risk

Break below $94.41 (theta invalidation) or $90 (gamma flip to long) triggers dealer hedging selloff, accelerating decline to $85 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.