thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $122.81EOD only
Max Pain
$127.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.07
5.0% from close
Price Gap
+4.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.93
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

5 not 6 because the theta-directional conflict reduces alignment; not lower because convergence on high vol and flow bearishness maintains moderate conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias with high volatility — directional and flow see downside pressure, theta and earnings confirm elevated risk environment.

Where They Diverge

Theta's put credit spread at $100 support is bullish, directly conflicting with directional bearish thesis; earnings low beat rate adds downside risk but IV high favors sellers.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-02 $118/$104 bear put spread for net debit of $3.20.

Key Risk

Break below $100 invalidates support, flips dealer gamma long, and accelerates downside to $95 as stop-losses trigger.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.