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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $164.85EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.73
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+5.15
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
35
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.90
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because flow is mixed (call buying vs. net negative premium), reducing signal clarity, and earnings' short strangle conflicts with directional's outright bearish stance.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bearish near-term outlook: dealers short-gamma, spot below $168 max pain, and resistance at $167.5-$170 cap upside, favoring downside moves toward $145 support.

Where They Diverge

Earnings recommends a short strangle (selling both put and call) while directional advocates bearish put spreads and call credit spreads—incompatible as a strangle profits from range-bound price, but directional expects downside breakout.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-06-05 $160.00/$152.50 bear put spread for $2.50 debit

Key Risk

Break above $170 invalidates the bearish thesis, flips dealer gamma bullish, and drives price toward $180 resistance.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.