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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $170.81EOD only

Max Pain

$145.00

Next expiry Apr 24, 2026

Expected Move

±$12.62

7.4% from close

Price Gap

-25.81

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Low premium

P/C OI

0.80

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

6.5/10

Range bias

Published snapshot: Apr 20, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Apr 20, 2026 close

MSTR AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close April 21, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

5.5

out of 10

5.5 because gamma/IV alignment and rich premium support a pin trade, but mixed flow and an upcoming event-driven IV term structure create high single-event risk that limits conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned to the mid-$140s (roughly $142–$146) in the near term with dealer gamma concentrating risk there and elevated IV creating a theta-rich environment.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows pockets of institutional accumulation and directional traders leaning against the pin, while earnings-term structure (short-dated IV elevation) implies a binary event that could either reinforce the pin or cause a sharp repricing — the latter directly undermines the pin thesis if realized.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell May 15 $146/$150 call spread for a credit (theta play expecting pin to hold into that expiry).

Key Risk

Sustained break and close above $150 on strong volume with rising IV (post-catalyst) removes dealer pinning, flips gamma/flow, and will likely accelerate upside away from the mid-$140s, invalidating the thesis.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 21, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.