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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $136.08EOD only
Max Pain
$152.50
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.60
7.0% from close
Price Gap
+16.42
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
61
High premium
P/C OI
0.93
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
5.0

out of 10

Score 5 because multiple signals align on a short-term pin (gamma + call cluster) which makes pre-earnings, defined-risk selling attractive, but conviction is capped by the upcoming earnings binary and an opposing net-premium flow that can flip direction quickly — these event and flow risks prevent a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term dealer gamma creates a measurable magnet into the 140–150 call cluster supporting a neutral-to-slightly-bull intraday bias; that pinning makes defined-risk, pre-earnings premium selling the highest-probability pathway to realize theta while still allowing for a directional edge if the magnet breaks.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven binary risk directly undermines the pinning/directional thesis because a realized post-earnings gap can overwhelm dealer gamma and any theta positions; additionally, the broader net-premium imbalance (institutional skew) points to latent downside pressure that contradicts the short-term call-cluster magnet if macro or liquidity flow turns sour.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 24 2026 $142/$150 call spread for ~credit (defined-risk, expires pre-earnings).

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $131 (max-pain level) before expiration — triggers dealer re-hedging/unwind and accelerates downside toward the next structural support (~$125), invalidating the pin and wiping out short-call premium positions.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.