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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $137.41EOD only

Max Pain

$130.00

Next expiry Apr 17, 2026

Expected Move

±$7.05

5.1% from close

Price Gap

-7.41

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

0.82

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

5.0/10

Neutral tilt

Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Apr 14, 2026 close

MSTR AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

5.0

out of 10

Score 5 because multiple signals align on a pin/magnet around $135–142, but alignment is shallow: mixed flow, elevated IV and upcoming expiries create asymmetric tail risk that premium-selling would suffer; lacking a clear, reinforcing institutional flow and with earnings/vol as a binary threat prevents a higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market consensus is a neutral-to-slight-bull around a $135–142 pin: dealer short-gamma is actively pinning price into that cluster and that structure amplifies directional moves, making the range the path of least resistance.

Where They Diverge

Theta wants to harvest premium into the pin while directional warns that elevated ATM IV and the ~5.7% spot distance above the MP make short-premium vulnerable to gap-down risk; earnings/vol regime is high and creates a binary event that can invalidate premium-selling assumptions — flow signals (mixed) do not clearly commit to sustained buying, which undermines confidence in a clean continuation higher. In short, premium-selling and accumulation views are directly threatened by event-driven vol and the potential for dealer-driven one-way hedging if price deviates from the pin.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell Apr 24 $135/$130 put spread for credit (bull put), collect a modest credit to profit from pin and limited downside to $130.

Key Risk

Sustained break and close below $130 (MP) — if price trades and closes under $130 with follow-through, dealer gamma flips, one-way hedging accelerates selling and the $135–142 pin collapses, making short-premium and bullish spread trades invalid.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for MSTR for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.