thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $163.97EOD only
Max Pain
$146.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$10.75
6.6% from close
Price Gap
-17.97
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
21
Low premium
P/C OI
0.79
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 21, 2026 close
MSTR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Large positive GEX (+$117.5M) and +$69.7M dex, heavy call prints concentrated 182.5–185 and elevated call volume/oi versus puts; regime flagged 'Pinning' and bullish; put/call volume low (0.398).
Invalidation: Sustained spot decline below the clustered put strikes (~170–175) with rising put prints/IV or a rapid GEX reversal/gamma flip.
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 20.4% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: Monitor 182.5–185 call OI changes and net premium flow; Watch put prints/IV around 170–175; Track GEX movement and spot vs MP

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$146.5M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.40

P/C OI ratio: 0.82

Flow is dominantly bullish/pinning: concentrated short-call exposure around 182.5–185 and large positive GEX/dex support potential pinning near those strikes. Key risk is a sharp downside that triggers put accumulation or flips gamma, which would invalidate the pinning bias.

Notable Prints

#1
MSTR 2026-04-24 $180.00 Put
Vol: 8,598
OI: 227
Vol/OI: 37.9x
IV: 75.4%
Notional: ~$4.5M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#2
MSTR 2026-04-24 $187.50 Call
Vol: 11,133
OI: 337
Vol/OI: 33.0x
IV: 80.0%
Notional: ~$2.4M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
MSTR 2026-04-24 $185.00 Call
Vol: 51,713
OI: 2,278
Vol/OI: 22.7x
IV: 78.3%
Notional: ~$14.4M
Intent: aggressive call buy
Dual read: flow or buy-write

Read-through: large bullish flow, short-covering/pinning

#4
MSTR 2026-04-24 $182.50 Call
Vol: 17,626
OI: 918
Vol/OI: 19.2x
IV: 76.2%
Notional: ~$6.3M
Intent: call accumulation
Dual read: speculative buy or spread leg

Read-through: upside bias into near expiry

#5
MSTR 2026-04-24 $192.50 Call
Vol: 5,987
OI: 339
Vol/OI: 17.7x
IV: 84.0%
Notional: ~$808K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy near-term call buys concentrated 182.5–185 and 187.5 strikes (exp 4/24) and front-week calls into 5/1.

Put additions: Protective puts clustered 170–175 and sizable 180 put print; estimated put deltas ~-0.3 to -0.5 with elevated IV—could be hedges or synthetics, not unambiguously directional.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$117.5M and DEX +69.7M indicate net short‑gamma/positive delta pressure that can encourage pinning toward near strikes, but effect is time‑decay sensitive and not definitive—short‑dated flows may unwind quickly.

OI clusters: Largest OI at 185 call (2.3k), 182.5 call (918) and 170–175 puts (1.5k, 732).

Hedging evidence: Puts and collars present; skew shows more call buying but meaningful downside hedges below 175–180.

Max pain context: Spot ~20% above MP; concentrated short‑gamma exposure increases pinning probability into 180–185 but remains contingent on flow persistence and theta decay.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Concentrated front‑week call flow at 182.5–185 with high IV — meaningful institutional directional exposure if held.
~Signal: GEX/DEX alignment supports potential pinning but is conditional on short‑dated flow persistence.
~Noise: Large put prints may reflect hedging or synthetic structures; quantified deltas/IV suggest they could be non‑directional but deserve monitoring.

Key Conclusions

📌Bullish pinning risk into 180–185 this week supported by concentrated call OI and positive GEX/DEX, though effect is time‑decay dependent.
⚠️Downside protection at 170–175 is material (put deltas ~-0.3 to -0.5); gap risk exists if spot drops into that zone.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.