thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $148.94EOD only
Max Pain
$132.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.83
3.2% from close
Price Gap
-16.94
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.83
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
MSTR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Large same-day call prints (170/175), GEX +$78.6M and DEX +71.6M, pinning regime and low put/call volume ratio support upside pin
Invalidation: Spot moving sharply toward mid-price (26%+ distance) or sustained selling that flips GEX negative, rising put prints/IV across nearby expiries or VIX spike
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 26.2% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor 170–175 strikes (4/17 & 4/24) for follow-through; Track GEX changes and DEX share buys/sells; Watch IV and big put prints that concentrate OI

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$480.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.38

P/C OI ratio: 0.87

Flow is bullish/pinning: heavy call flow into 170–175 and large net positive GEX/DEX imply dealer delta buys and upside pinning; risk if spot retreats toward mid-price or put flow/IV surge reverses gamma.

Notable Prints

#1
MSTR 2026-04-17 $170.00 Put
Vol: 22,524
OI: 514
Vol/OI: 43.8x
IV: 30.3%
Notional: ~$7.7M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#2
MSTR 2026-04-17 $165.00 Put
Vol: 49,150
OI: 1,496
Vol/OI: 32.9x
IV: 15.6%
Notional: ~$393K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
MSTR 2026-04-17 $175.00 Call
Vol: 73,777
OI: 2,684
Vol/OI: 27.5x
IV: 39.8%
Notional: ~$74K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSTR 2026-04-24 $175.00 Call
Vol: 20,995
OI: 763
Vol/OI: 27.5x
IV: 81.9%
Notional: ~$9.9M
Intent: bullish/speculative
Dual read: outright buy vs part of spread

Read-through: concentration of buys at 175 strike

#5
MSTR 2026-04-24 $170.00 Put
Vol: 4,361
OI: 164
Vol/OI: 26.6x
IV: 77.9%
Notional: ~$4.1M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Concentrated call buys clustered ~170–200 (Apr17/24); largest printed OI around Apr17 170/175 and pockets at Apr24 170/200.

Put additions: Notable put prints at 165–170 across short-dated expiries but OI is mixed—some transient prints, smaller sustained put base vs calls.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX and DEX flow tilt toward upside, but magnitude uncertainty and mixed put activity mean consistency is probable not definitive.

OI clusters: Biggest OI concentrations: Apr17 170C ~6.3k, 175C ~2.7k; Apr24 170C ~2.0k, 200C ~1.5k; 165–170 puts ~1.3–1.5k (some low‑OI prints).

Hedging evidence: Call‑heavy structure plus short put prints is suggestive of collars/covered‑call behavior, though execution/IV noise leaves hedging intent ambiguous.

Max pain context: Spot sits above reported MP; flow and gamma suggest upward pressure but localized pinning risk exists and is not guaranteed.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: concentrated Apr17 170 call OI and Apr24 170/200 call build imply institutional upside bias (probable).
~Signal: positive GEX/DEX metrics support dealer hedging toward higher strikes, with uncertainty on magnitude.
~Noise: many low‑OI/cheap prints and sweeps—some prints may be algorithmic, not durable position taking.
~Noise: elevated IV on Apr24 calls could reflect dispersion or supply effects rather than pure directional commitment.

Key Conclusions

📈Institutions appear biased toward upside (probable), but low‑OI prints and IV noise temper confidence.
⚠️Short‑dated put prints and spot>MP create localized pin risk; execution noise increases uncertainty.

Read the Flow analysis for MSTR for 2026-04-17. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.