thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $136.08EOD only
Max Pain
$152.50
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.60
7.0% from close
Price Gap
+16.42
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
61
High premium
P/C OI
0.93
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
MSTR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 17, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Large same-day call prints (170/175), GEX +$78.6M and DEX +71.6M, pinning regime and low put/call volume ratio support upside pin
Invalidation: Spot moving sharply toward mid-price (26%+ distance) or sustained selling that flips GEX negative, rising put prints/IV across nearby expiries or VIX spike
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 26.2% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor 170–175 strikes (4/17 & 4/24) for follow-through; Track GEX changes and DEX share buys/sells; Watch IV and big put prints that concentrate OI

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$480.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.38

P/C OI ratio: 0.87

Flow is bullish/pinning: heavy call flow into 170–175 and large net positive GEX/DEX imply dealer delta buys and upside pinning; risk if spot retreats toward mid-price or put flow/IV surge reverses gamma.

Notable Prints

#1
MSTR 2026-04-17 $170.00 Put
Vol: 22,524
OI: 514
Vol/OI: 43.8x
IV: 30.3%
Notional: ~$7.7M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#2
MSTR 2026-04-17 $165.00 Put
Vol: 49,150
OI: 1,496
Vol/OI: 32.9x
IV: 15.6%
Notional: ~$393K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
MSTR 2026-04-17 $175.00 Call
Vol: 73,777
OI: 2,684
Vol/OI: 27.5x
IV: 39.8%
Notional: ~$74K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSTR 2026-04-24 $175.00 Call
Vol: 20,995
OI: 763
Vol/OI: 27.5x
IV: 81.9%
Notional: ~$9.9M
Intent: bullish/speculative
Dual read: outright buy vs part of spread

Read-through: concentration of buys at 175 strike

#5
MSTR 2026-04-24 $170.00 Put
Vol: 4,361
OI: 164
Vol/OI: 26.6x
IV: 77.9%
Notional: ~$4.1M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Concentrated call buys clustered ~170–200 (Apr17/24); largest printed OI around Apr17 170/175 and pockets at Apr24 170/200.

Put additions: Notable put prints at 165–170 across short-dated expiries but OI is mixed—some transient prints, smaller sustained put base vs calls.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX and DEX flow tilt toward upside, but magnitude uncertainty and mixed put activity mean consistency is probable not definitive.

OI clusters: Biggest OI concentrations: Apr17 170C ~6.3k, 175C ~2.7k; Apr24 170C ~2.0k, 200C ~1.5k; 165–170 puts ~1.3–1.5k (some low‑OI prints).

Hedging evidence: Call‑heavy structure plus short put prints is suggestive of collars/covered‑call behavior, though execution/IV noise leaves hedging intent ambiguous.

Max pain context: Spot sits above reported MP; flow and gamma suggest upward pressure but localized pinning risk exists and is not guaranteed.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: concentrated Apr17 170 call OI and Apr24 170/200 call build imply institutional upside bias (probable).
~Signal: positive GEX/DEX metrics support dealer hedging toward higher strikes, with uncertainty on magnitude.
~Noise: many low‑OI/cheap prints and sweeps—some prints may be algorithmic, not durable position taking.
~Noise: elevated IV on Apr24 calls could reflect dispersion or supply effects rather than pure directional commitment.

Key Conclusions

📈Institutions appear biased toward upside (probable), but low‑OI prints and IV noise temper confidence.
⚠️Short‑dated put prints and spot>MP create localized pin risk; execution noise increases uncertainty.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.