thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $164.85EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.73
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+5.15
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
35
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.90
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
MSTR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 21, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Call volume/prints dominate; GEX positive suggests pinning, but net premium negative and spot below MP.
Invalidation: Close above $170 or sustained put flow exceeding call volumes.
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.0% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Pinning action around 170-177.5; put flow at 146

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$59.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.40

P/C OI ratio: 0.90

Mixed flow: heavy call buying for 5/29 at 170 and 177.5 suggests bullish bets, but net put premium and spot below max pain keep sentiment cautious. Unusual put at 146 adds downside hedge. High GEX hints at pinning. Volume ratio favors calls, OI split near parity.

Notable Prints

#1
MSTR 2026-05-29 $146.00 Put
Vol: 2,186
OI: 118
Vol/OI: 18.5x
IV: 60.4%
Notional: ~$146K
Intent: Bearish speculation or hedge

Read-through: Expects decline

#2
MSTR 2026-05-29 $177.50 Call
Vol: 42,197
OI: 3,184
Vol/OI: 13.2x
IV: 57.3%
Notional: ~$7.6M
Intent: Bullish speculation

Read-through: Expects rise

#3
MSTR 2026-05-29 $170.00 Call
Vol: 47,221
OI: 5,398
Vol/OI: 8.8x
IV: 56.0%
Notional: ~$17.2M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSTR 2026-05-29 $167.50 Call
Vol: 5,752
OI: 872
Vol/OI: 6.6x
IV: 55.5%
Notional: ~$2.6M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
MSTR 2026-06-05 $95.00 Put
Vol: 3,676
OI: 628
Vol/OI: 5.8x
IV: 108.2%
Notional: ~$33K
Intent: Tail risk hedge

Read-through: Fear of crash

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: 5/29 $170-$177.5 calls, 5/22 $167.5-$172.5 calls active

Put additions: 5/22 $162.5 put (11.5k vol), 5/29 $146 put, 6/5 $95 put

GEX/DEX consistency: yes; GEX +8.5M, DEX +44M, net call flow supports positive gamma

OI clusters: OI concentration near $170 call (5.4k) and $162.5 put (3.1k)

Hedging evidence: put buying at $162.5 and $146 suggests downside hedging ahead of 5/29

Max pain context: spot below MP, pinning higher; likely pin around $170-$175

Signal vs Noise

~signal: large call volume on $170, $177.5, $172.5; put volume on $162.5
~noise: low vol $95 and $310 puts are tail hedges, not directional

Key Conclusions

📈Bulk call buying 5/29 $170-177.5 signals bullish expectations
🛡️$162.5 put surge (11.5k vol) shows active downside hedging
⚖️Positive GEX +8.5M and low VIX (16.8) support pinning to MP
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.