thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $131.14EOD only
Max Pain
$127.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.97
6.1% from close
Price Gap
-4.14
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.94
Balanced positioning
Consensus
5.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
MSTR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above $100 gamma flip; continued call activity.
Invalidation: Break below $100 with heavy put flow.
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.3% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: 100; 124; VIX

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$218.6M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.67

P/C OI ratio: 0.93

Mixed flow: net premium -$218M, put/call vol 0.67 calls favored, but high put OI ratio (0.93) and unusual put prints (112p, 90p, 130p) suggest hedging. Gamma positive (+$47.7M) with pinning at $100. Spot below MP but near gamma support. Dominant bias bullish on gamma support and call activity.

Notable Prints

#1
MSTR 2026-06-26 $112.00 Put
Vol: 3,376
OI: 345
Vol/OI: 9.8x
IV: 66.7%
Notional: ~$581K
Intent: Bearish speculation
Dual read: Could be put spread leg

Read-through: Bearish near-term

#2
MSTR 2026-11-20 $90.00 Put
Vol: 3,992
OI: 450
Vol/OI: 8.9x
IV: 80.4%
Notional: ~$3.8M
Intent: Long-term bearish hedge
Dual read: Speculative crash bet

Read-through: Bearish outlook

#3
MSTR 2026-06-18 $126.00 Call
Vol: 2,328
OI: 602
Vol/OI: 3.9x
IV: 68.8%
Notional: ~$410K
Intent: Speculative short-term call
Dual read: Closing trade possible

Read-through: Bullish immediate

#4
MSTR 2026-06-18 $133.00 Call
Vol: 3,923
OI: 1,032
Vol/OI: 3.8x
IV: 73.6%
Notional: ~$216K
Intent: Lottery call buying
Dual read: Part of ratio spread

Read-through: Very bullish short-term

#5
MSTR 2026-06-26 $124.00 Call
Vol: 740
OI: 194
Vol/OI: 3.8x
IV: 67.0%
Notional: ~$385K
Intent: Bullish bet
Dual read: Covered call candidate

Read-through: Mild bullish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: OTM calls at $126, $133, $138, $140, $235

Put additions: OTM puts at $90, $112, $130

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$47.7M, DEX +50.9M shares; bullish tilt despite put hedging

OI clusters: Put OI 22,428 at 18.6% below spot; call OI heavy at $140-$150

Hedging evidence: Put buying at $90 and $112 signals downside protection

Max pain context: MP above spot; spot ~3.3% below MP, potential pin near $130-$140

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi on $112 put and $133 call are real new positions
~Net premium -$218M reflects premium selling, conflicting with directional bets
~GEX positive confirms bullish flow from call additions

Key Conclusions

🔥Institutions adding OTM calls ($133, $138) signaling bullish speculation
🛡️Heavy put protection at $90 and $112 indicates downside hedging amid high IV
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.