thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $123.97EOD only
Max Pain
$129.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.62
7.8% from close
Price Gap
+5.03
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.95
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Neutral tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
MSTR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above gamma flip (100) and call volume stays elevated.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below gamma flip with put volume surge.
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.3% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: Monitor unusual prints: 160C, 275C; gamma flip at 100

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$192.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.68

P/C OI ratio: 0.94

Heavy call buying (vol ratio 0.68) and positive GEX (+$81M) tilt bias bullish. Gamma pinning and low VIX support. Unusual prints in 160C and 275C show conviction. Mixed flow but net bullish.

Notable Prints

#1
MSTR 2026-07-02 $160.00 Call
Vol: 17,253
OI: 917
Vol/OI: 18.8x
IV: 75.3%
Notional: ~$2.4M
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Squeeze or earnings bet

Read-through: Initiation of new position

#2
MSTR 2026-08-21 $275.00 Call
Vol: 3,553
OI: 198
Vol/OI: 17.9x
IV: 92.7%
Notional: ~$334K
Intent: Bullish long shot
Dual read: Lottery ticket

Read-through: New open interest

#3
MSTR 2026-06-26 $133.00 Call
Vol: 846
OI: 102
Vol/OI: 8.3x
IV: 69.5%
Notional: ~$482K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSTR 2026-06-18 $133.00 Call
Vol: 3,277
OI: 741
Vol/OI: 4.4x
IV: 73.7%
Notional: ~$1.0M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
MSTR 2026-07-10 $95.00 Put
Vol: 869
OI: 200
Vol/OI: 4.3x
IV: 84.7%
Notional: ~$80K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls at $160 (7/2) & $275 (8/21) V/O >17

Put additions: Puts at $95 (7/10) & deep ITM $245/310

GEX/DEX consistency: Consistent: GEX+81.2M, DEX+55.1M

OI clusters: Put OI at $100 flip, call OI $160/275

Hedging evidence: Deep ITM puts indicate hedging

Max pain context: Spot above MP, pin near $100-120

Signal vs Noise

~High V/O calls are real bullish flow
~Deep ITM puts signal hedging, not bearish
~Net premium negative is noise from put hedging

Key Conclusions

🚀Aggressive call buying at $160 and $275
🛡️Deep ITM put hedging shows tail risk management
📌Positive GEX and gamma pinning at $100
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.