thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $159.89EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.93
6.2% from close
Price Gap
+10.11
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
47
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.89
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
MSTR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above key support, continued call buying, positive gamma.
Invalidation: Break below recent lows; surge in put volume.
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.1% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: $160; $180

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$102.0M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.79

P/C OI ratio: 0.92

Mixed flow with net negative premium, but call volume outpaces puts and positive gamma indicates pinning. Unusual call buying suggests bullish sentiment, though expensive puts hedge downside.

Notable Prints

#1
MSTR 2026-06-05 $170.00 Call
Vol: 3,276
OI: 777
Vol/OI: 4.2x
IV: 62.7%
Notional: ~$1.1M
Intent: Bull

Read-through: OTM

#2
MSTR 2026-05-29 $162.50 Call
Vol: 2,730
OI: 666
Vol/OI: 4.1x
IV: 62.5%
Notional: ~$833K
Intent: Bull

Read-through: OTM

#3
MSTR 2026-06-26 $230.00 Call
Vol: 1,266
OI: 315
Vol/OI: 4.0x
IV: 76.4%
Notional: ~$141K
Intent: Bull

Read-through: OTM

#4
MSTR 2026-06-26 $190.00 Call
Vol: 1,103
OI: 279
Vol/OI: 4.0x
IV: 66.7%
Notional: ~$397K
Intent: Bull

Read-through: OTM

#5
MSTR 2026-07-02 $285.00 Call
Vol: 403
OI: 100
Vol/OI: 4.0x
IV: 88.0%
Notional: ~$52K
Intent: Bull

Read-through: OTM

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls added at 162.5-190 strikes (weekly) and 230-285 (monthly)

Put additions: Puts added at 144 and 300 strikes, likely hedging

GEX/DEX consistency: Positive GEX/DEX consistent with bullish flow

OI clusters: Largest OI: 170c, 190c, 230c, 285c

Hedging evidence: Deep OTM put at 300 suggests upside hedge

Max pain context: Spot below MP; positive gamma pins price toward expiry

Signal vs Noise

~High call volume in weekly and monthly expiries is real demand
~Net negative premium reflects large put trades, but flow is mixed
~Deep OTM put at 300 is noise (hedge), not directional bet

Key Conclusions

📈Call additions concentrated in $162.5-$190 range indicate bullish bias
⚠️Spot below MP and positive gamma suggests pinning to MP
🛡️Deep OTM put at $300 used as tail hedge
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.