base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Term structure: Near-term elevated (3d 90%), contango after 10d; skew elevated in near puts.
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+34.8M)
Gamma flip: ~$90.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 22,976 (18.8% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI concentrated at $90 (22.9k, -18.8% spot); max pain pins at $109, $105, $106.
#1Call calendar
Sell 2026-06-12 $115.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $115.00 call
Sell short-dated call, buy longer-dated call at same strike to capture contango premium.
Mgmt: Monitor invalidation at $109; exit if spot moves below or if IV gap widens.
#2Call diagonal
Sell 2026-06-18 $120.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $105.00 call
Long call at lower strike, short call at higher strike to finance upside exposure.
Mgmt: Adjust strike if spot approaches $120; roll short call forward to manage gamma.
#3Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-26 $105.00/$101.00 put spread
Sell put spread below current price to collect premium with defined risk.
Mgmt: Close if spot drops below $105; invalidation at $109. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Volume below 5.
!Near-term expiration (3d) may cause gamma squeeze if spot moves.
!Spot drop below $90 gamma flip invalidates bullish thesis.
!VIX at 18 relatively low but can spike given high vol regime.