thetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $68.50EOD only
Max Pain
$56.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.65
11.2% from close
Price Gap
-12.50
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.00
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 17, 2026 close
INTC Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 20, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness6.5 / 10
Sizing: Conservative
Primary: N/A
Invalidation: Sustained move below $56 or rapid IV collapse to <65 reducing premium value
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 15.3% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
ATM IVs (108→77 short-term) far above VIX 18.87; stock-specific skew and near-term event premium
Favorable?
No

Term structure: Steep near-term term premium with mean-reverting slope after ~30d; elevated tail put IVs (e.g., 59d+ put spikes)

⚠️High short-dated IV (108% 4d) inflates short-dated premium
📌Max-pain pins at $56–57 align with positive dealer GEX (+$103M) supporting pinning

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+103.2M)

OI concentrations: Max-pain cluster at $56–57 across near expiries; no major put wall below 30% down

Verdict: Pinning regime: elevated OI near max-pain and positive GEX increases pin risk into expiries

Premium Opportunities

#1
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-22 $70.00 call / buy 2026-06-18 $80.00 call
Capture front-month IV decay while retaining long-call protection across earnings; favorable OI/skew
Credit: $1.01-$1.23
Max loss: $0.01
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Close or roll short leg before a rapid slide <56 or if IV collapses; keep long back-month for post-earnings exposure
#2
Put diagonal
Sell 2026-05-22 $62.00 put / buy 2026-06-18 $65.00 put
Sell front-month put to harvest decay, hedge with longer-dated put to limit downside during earnings
Debit: $2.50-$3.05
Max loss: $3.05
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Trim or buy back if spot approaches $56 or if IV drops below ~65; consider rolling down after sharp moves
#3
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-29 $73.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $90.00 call
Wider strike spacing to reduce short-gamma while keeping upside exposure
Credit: $0.88-$1.08
Max loss: $0.01
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Avoid holding into large post-earnings gap; exit/roll if IV spikes or bid/ask widens materially Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_call: Open interest below 25.

Risk Alerts

!Rapid spot drop toward $56 invalidates premium sell thesis
!IV can gap higher on earnings/news, widening short gamma loss
!Dealer GEX positive may compress moves short-term but can flip if flow reverses
!Early assignment risk and increased margin exposure for short cash-settled or American-style positions
!Liquidity can evaporate on IV spikes—bid/ask widens, execution and hedging costs rise
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on April 20, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.