base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 30.5% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Term structure: Steep front‑week skew then generally downward slope into summer; mid‑dated IVs rich vs long dated
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+192.7M)
OI concentrations: Max‑pain pins at $52/$56/$55; notable OI concentration around $52–$56
#1Put diagonal
Sell 2026-05-22 $63.00 put / buy 2026-06-18 $62.50 put
Capture term-structure normalization while retaining limited defined risk; favorable entry 0.94–1.15.
Mgmt: Close or roll if spot < invalidation 59.4 or VIX>25; trim on >30% realized profit or heavy put OI builds.
#2Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-22 $80.00 call / buy 2026-06-18 $75.00 call
Express short front-month call vega and long later call to profit from IV collapse while keeping upside participation.
Mgmt: Take profits on front-week IV collapse; buy back if spot rallies toward short strike or sustained move < invalidation.
#3Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-22 $75.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $70.00 call
Longer-dated protection with front-month short call to monetize rich May IV.
Mgmt: Manage like s1; roll or close if spot approaches short strike or volatility regime shifts.
!Spot performance diverges >5% from nearest max pain
!VIX spikes above 25
!Large directional put sweeps or sudden dealer GEX reversal