thetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $68.50EOD only
Max Pain
$51.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.98
2.9% from close
Price Gap
-17.50
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.98
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
INTC Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Defined-risk put credit spreads (30–60 DTE) and call credit spreads near $65 pin
Invalidation: Close below $62.23 (2d EM low) or sustained move above $72.87 (1w EM high)
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 29.9% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 80.1% vs VIX 18.17 — vols are extremely rich relative to index; short-dated ATM IVs: 2d ATM 57.7% -> 9d ATM 92.5% (earnings-driven)
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Steep front/mid curve around earnings: 2d 57.7% (cheap), 9d 92.5% (very rich), then normalizing into May/June (70–83%).

💰Very high avg IV (80.1%) and concentrated short-term IV around 2026-04-24 make defined premium selling attractive.
⚠️Front-week IV is lower than the 9d (earnings) spike — avoid naked short through earnings (2026-04-23).

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+157.9M)

OI concentrations: Strong call OI and GEX magnets at $65.00 (+$34.1M GEX), $70.00 (+$15.0M) with call OI concentrated at $65/$70 and net bullish premium flow ($109.3M). Max pain short-term is lower ($50–$55) but spot is above MP.

Verdict: Favorable — positive GEX (+$157.9M) and near-term GEX magnet at $65 create a pinning environment that supports selling premium into call walls or selling put spreads near dealer-supported levels. However, pinning can quickly flip if directional flow accelerates.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $60.00/$50.00 put spread
Sell put credit spreads targeting ~30 DTE with short puts around ~0.30 delta and long puts ~5 points lower; use EM guardrail $62.23 as an invalidation trigger.
Credit: $2.24-$2.73
Max loss: $7.27
BE: $57.27
Mgmt: Close on 50–65% profit or if price closes below $62.23; widen or roll down only after reassessing post-earnings vol.
#2
Call credit spread
Sell 2026-04-24 $72.00/$80.00 call spread
Sell a near-term call spread (target short ~0.28 delta, 9–16 DTE) to collect premium against the $65 call/GEX wall; keep defined long call protection 4–8 points wide.
Credit: $0.94-$1.15
Max loss: $6.85
BE: $73.15
Mgmt: Take profits at 50–60%; exit or roll if spot > EM 1w high $72.87 or if IV collapses post-earnings.

Risk Alerts

!Earnings 2026-04-23 (8d) — avoid selling naked premium through earnings; prefer defined-risk or expire/roll ahead.
!Large call OI & GEX magnet at $65 (+$34.1M) and heavy call OI at $70 — short-call sellers can be pressured if bullish flow accelerates.
!Very high average IV (80.1%) indicates rich premium but also large potential IV crush post-earnings; position size accordingly.
!Positive total GEX (+$157.9M) creates pinning but can amplify moves if dealers hedge suddenly — monitor intraday gamma exposures around $65.
!Unusual activity in 2026-05-01 $69 call and multiple $62–$67 put/call prints suggests institutional directional positioning; be prepared for skew shifts.

Read the Theta analysis for INTC for 2026-04-15. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.