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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $128.32EOD only
Max Pain
$120.00
Next expiry Jul 2, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.00
8.6% from close
Price Gap
-8.32
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
20
Low premium
P/C OI
1.01
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 26, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 29, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

INTC earnings 24d out. High IV, bullish flow, massive call buying. Beat rate 80%.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 9.8% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Most important: Watch $140 resistance and $111 put floor. Near-term expiration sees aggressive speculation.
⚠️Aggressive call buying in expiring week with low OI – possible binary positioning but high decay risk.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$100.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 24,829 (24.1% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (24 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-07-02 (3d): ±$9.27 (7.0%)
  • 2026-07-10 (11d): ±$15.68 (11.9%)
  • 2026-07-17 (18d): ±$20.00 (15.2%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Slight backwardation: 3d IV ~64% ann, 18d ~57% ann.

Crush estimate: 30-40% crush post-earnings.

Skew: Call skew elevated; deep ITM calls >170% IV.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not available.

Directional bias: Bullish due to flow and GEX pinning.

Key Levels

1$100.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $122.45/$141.00
3Max pain pins: $120 (2026-07-02); $126 (2026-07-10); $100 (2026-07-17)

Flow Highlights

Massive call buying: Jul2 $89C (45k vol, 70x OI), $88C (38k vol, 55x OI), $141C (20k vol) near resistance.

Speculative bullish bets; potential gamma squeeze.

Strategies

Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-07-31 $130.00/$140.00 call spread
Debit: $3.71-$4.54
Max loss: $4.54
Max gain: $5.46
BE: $134.54
Trigger: Roll up if strong early; exit on breach of $120.
Bullish flow and high beat rate make upside play preferred.
Outperforms: Limits cost and defines max gain at $140.
Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.
Long Strangle
Buy 2026-07-24 $122.00 put + buy $140.00 call
Debit: $16.00-$19.55
Max loss: $19.55
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 102.45 / 159.55
Trigger: Adjust deltas if one side dominates; exit before crush.
Cheaper than straddle; captures high IV crush and tail risk.
Outperforms: Non-directional profit from large post-earnings move.
Underperforms: Insufficient realized move reduces long-strangle edge.

Risk Assessment

!Earnings gap risk; high IV amplifies moves.
!Low OI in deep ITM calls risks violent unwinds.
!Spot near $140 resistance; failure at $125 could reverse.

What to Watch

?Spot vs $140 resistance.
?$125 max pain for Jul2.
?$111 put floor.
?Unusual call activity near expiry.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 29, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.