thetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $124.57EOD only
Max Pain
$50.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.80
9.5% from close
Price Gap
-74.57
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.05
Balanced positioning
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

INTC earnings 41 days out. High IV, bullish flow with massive call unusual activity. Historical 80% beat rate supports bullish bias.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 13.2% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Most important: Massive call volume on 2026-09-18 $97.5 strike (vol/oi 414.5) indicates strong bullish conviction.
📈Massive call buying at $97.5 strike: vol/oi 414.5
⚠️Put floor $80-$110 with heavy OI; potential support
🎯High beat rate (80%) historically bullish

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$105.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 23,278 (15.7% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (41 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (6d): ±$11.80 (9.5%)
  • 2026-06-26 (14d): ±$17.50 (14.0%)
  • 2026-07-02 (20d): ±$20.62 (16.6%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: ±9.5% (6d), ±14% (14d), ±16.6% (20d)

Crush estimate: Significant: IV likely contracts 50-70% post-earnings

Skew: Slight put skew (put/call OI 1.05); put floor $80-$110

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not available, but high beat rate suggests frequent upside surprises

Directional bias: Bullish (80% beat rate)

Key Levels

1$105.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 1w $112.77/$136.37
3Max pain pins: $110 (2026-06-12); $50 (2026-06-18); $111 (2026-06-26)

Flow Highlights

63,836 calls on 2026-09-18 $97.5 strike, OI 154, vol/oi 414.5

Institutional bullish positioning; long-term optimism

Heavy put volume on 2026-06-12 strikes $124-$118, near zero delta

Hedging or bearish bets on near-term weakness

Strategies

Long Strangle
Buy 2026-07-24 $112.00 put + buy $155.00 call
Debit: $14.49-$17.71
Max loss: $17.71
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 94.29 / 172.71
Trigger: Adjust if IV crushes; exit near earnings for crush; consider rolling if price nears strikes.
Only eligible candidate due to valid leg geometry and liquidity.
Outperforms: Lower premium than straddle, captures expected move with bullish bias and downside hedge.
Underperforms: Insufficient realized move reduces long-strangle edge.

Risk Assessment

!High IV (VIX 17.68) amplifies move risk
!Gamma pinning near $110 may limit upside until earnings
!Unusual put activity near expiry could indicate hedging
!Call OI wall $150-$170 acts as resistance

What to Watch

?Earnings date 2026-07-23 (41 days away)
?Gamma flip level $105: below may accelerate selling
?Unusual call activity on $97.5 and OTM puts
?Max pain: $110 (weekly), $111 (monthly)
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.