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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $127.86EOD only
Max Pain
$57.50
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.20
7.2% from close
Price Gap
-70.36
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.02
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

INTC earnings 37d out; implied moves moderate; heavy put flow raises caution despite historical 80% beat rate.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 95.1% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Most important: Sizable put buying in June 26 expirations suggests hedging ahead of earnings; spot near $117.
⚠️Put OI wall at $105: 24k contracts; spot 10% above, but flow is bearish.
📈80% historical beat rate; but current put buying signals doubt.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$105.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 24,403 (10.3% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (37 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (2d): ±$7.40 (6.3%)
  • 2026-06-26 (10d): ±$13.78 (11.8%)
  • 2026-07-02 (16d): ±$16.98 (14.5%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Steep contango: 2d σ 6.3%, 10d σ 11.8%, 16d σ 14.5%.

Crush estimate: Earnings 37d away; IV crush not imminent; near-term skew elevated.

Skew: Put-skew dominates; unusual put prints at 96-108 strikes.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Historical beat rate 80%; avg move may understate upside if beat.

Directional bias: Positive bias historically, but current flow suggests caution.

Key Levels

1$105.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $109.65/$124.45; 1w $103.28/$130.83
3Max pain pins: $60 (2026-06-18); $115 (2026-06-26); $111 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

Unusual put activity (15k+ contracts) on June 26 $108 and $105 puts, vol/OI ratios >7.

Hedging or bearish bets ahead of earnings; increases downside risk premium.

Strategies

Earnings Strangle
Buy 2026-07-24 $106.00 put + buy $145.00 call
Debit: $11.84-$14.47
Max loss: $14.47
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 91.53 / 159.47
Trigger: Enter near spot; manage legs; exit on IV collapse or breach; watch decay. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_call: Volume below 5.
Only candidate; captures upside potential with protective put.
Outperforms: Long strangle buying Jul 24 $106 put and $145 call to capture earnings move.
Underperforms: Insufficient realized move reduces long-strangle edge.

Risk Assessment

!Downside risk from heavy put positioning may cap upside.
!GEX pinning near $115-120; spot above MP but gamma support below.
!QQQ weakness (-1.9%) adds sector risk.

What to Watch

?June 18 expiry: gamma pin near $110-120.
?Put wall at $105-108; if broken, could accelerate decline.
?Earnings catalyst Jul 23; near-term vol may rise.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.