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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $91.13EOD only
Max Pain
$90.00
Next expiry Jul 31, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.11
4.5% from close
Price Gap
-1.13
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
12
Low premium
P/C OI
0.97
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jul 30, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jul 30, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 15, 2026. A newer earnings report is available for June 29, 2026.

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Earnings Verdict

INTC 38D to earnings. Strong bullish flow, heavy call buying, high beat rate 80%. IV elevated, VIX 16. Spot above MP and gamma flip $105, upside bias.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 122.4% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Most important: Heavy call buying on $148 and $137 strikes suggests upside expectations; gamma pinning near $105 may limit downside.
🚀Heavy call buying at $148, 90x OI
⚠️Spot 22% above gamma flip $105
📊80% beat rate historically
🛑$150 call wall may resist

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$105.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 24,113 (17.9% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (38 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (3d): ±$9.20 (7.2%)
  • 2026-06-26 (11d): ±$15.80 (12.4%)
  • 2026-07-02 (17d): ±$19.35 (15.1%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: 3d IV~200%, 11d~120%, 17d~100% annualized.

Crush estimate: Post-earnings crush ~50-70% as event IV recedes.

Skew: Put skew elevated near $112 and $127; call skew steep above $148.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: 80% beat rate; avg move ~±8% vs implied ~7%.

Directional bias: Bullish bias given high beat rate and heavy call flow.

Key Levels

1$105.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $118.66/$137.06
3Max pain pins: $58 (2026-06-18); $112 (2026-06-26); $110 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

$262.9M net call premium, PCR vol 0.63.

Strong bullish flow; unusual $148 calls (10645 vol, 90x OI) indicate upside positioning.

Gamma flip near $105; spot at $127.

Pinning effect may cap downside but spot well above flip level.

Strategies

Risk Assessment

!Spot $127 22% above gamma flip $105; large gap risk if gamma flips.
!Call wall at $150/$150 may cap upside.
!High VIX (16) may amplify moves.

What to Watch

?Monday 6/16 price vs $118.66 EM guardrail.
?Flow in $140-$150 calls for continuation.
?Put OI concentration at $110-$70 for support.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.