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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $131.65EOD only
Max Pain
$125.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.90
6.8% from close
Price Gap
-6.65
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
20
Low premium
P/C OI
1.00
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

Strong bullish flow and 80% beat rate; high IV adds uncertainty.

Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 6.3% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Most important: Deep ITM call clusters signal bullish bias despite IV decay risk.
🟢Deep ITM calls bullish conviction.
⚠️Steep IV term structure high premium.
📊80% beat rate supports bullish bias.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$100.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 23,903 (24.7% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (28 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-26 (1d): ±$5.81 (4.4%)
  • 2026-07-02 (7d): ±$13.30 (10.0%)
  • 2026-07-10 (15d): ±$18.57 (14.0%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Steep; near-term IV at 4.4% 1d move.

Crush estimate: 30-50% crush post-earnings.

Skew: Put/call OI near parity; skew flat.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: 80% beat rate last 5 quarters.

Directional bias: Bullish.

Key Levels

1$100.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $127.06/$138.68; 1w $119.57/$146.17
3Max pain pins: $125 (2026-06-26); $120 (2026-07-02); $125 (2026-07-10)

Flow Highlights

Deep ITM calls (76C-80C) vol/oi >20x.

Aggressive bullish positioning.

Put activity minimal (89P, 141P).

Limited hedging; call demand dominates.

Strategies

Iron Condor
Sell 2026-07-24 $130.00/$125.00 put wing and $140.00/$142.00 call wing
Credit: $3.06-$3.74
Max loss: $1.26
Max gain: $3.74
BE: 126.26 / 143.74
Trigger: Close at 50% max gain or before earnings if IV spikes.
High IV and steep term structure favor premium sale; 80% beat rate suggests contained moves.
Outperforms: Sells put and call wings to profit from limited post-earnings movement.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Call Calendar
Sell 2026-07-17 $135.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $135.00 call
Debit: $7.22-$8.83
Max loss: $8.83
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Exit if stock drops below $125; roll if IV flattens.
Bullish bias with high near-term IV; longer-dated leg reduces crush risk.
Outperforms: Buys back-month call, sells front-month to exploit term structure.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.

Risk Assessment

!High IV decay post-event.
!Spot 6.3% above MP; pin risk.
!Call OI wall $150-$170 caps upside.

What to Watch

?Pre-earnings guidance and sector news.
?Shifts in call wall or put floor.
?IV flattening indicating event premium build.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.