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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $124.57EOD only
Max Pain
$50.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.80
9.5% from close
Price Gap
-74.57
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.05
Balanced positioning
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 11, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer earnings report is available for June 12, 2026.

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Earnings Verdict

INTC 42d pre-earnings; IV elevated, heavy put buying near 114-118, net premium positive, pinning at 106.

Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 10.3% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Most important: Unusual put activity suggests downside hedging ahead of Jul 23 report.
⚠️Heavy put accumulation Jun12 expiries suggests near-term downside hedge.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Mixed
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$105.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 22,593 (10.2% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (42 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-12 (1d): ±$5.25 (4.5%)
  • 2026-06-18 (7d): ±$11.83 (10.1%)
  • 2026-06-26 (15d): ±$16.60 (14.2%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping; 1d IV ~4.5%, 7d ~10.1%, 15d ~14.2%

Crush estimate: Moderate; expect 30-50% IV drop post-earnings

Skew: Put skew steep; heavy put buying on 6/12 expiries

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not provided; beat rate 80% (4/5)

Directional bias: Bearish flow but mixed; net premium positive

Key Levels

1$105.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $111.71/$122.20; 1w $105.13/$128.78
3Max pain pins: $106 (2026-06-12); $50 (2026-06-18); $110 (2026-06-26)

Flow Highlights

29,959 puts on 6/12 $110 strike (vol/OI 8.3)

Large bearish bet protecting downside to $110.

20,061 puts on 6/12 $115 strike (vol/OI 15.2)

Aggressive put buying near the money.

Strategies

Iron Condor Range Play
Sell 2026-07-17 $110.00/$105.00 put wing and $120.00/$125.00 call wing
Credit: $3.55-$4.34
Max loss: $0.66
Max gain: $4.34
BE: 105.66 / 124.34
Trigger: Exit if price breaks 107 or 120; set stop at 2x max loss.
Defined risk within support 107 and resistance 120; elevated IV maximizes premium.
Outperforms: Sells put and call wings to profit from low volatility, collecting premium in range.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Short Strangle on Elevated IV
Sell 2026-07-17 $105.00 put + sell $125.00 call
Credit: $14.38-$17.57
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $17.57
BE: 87.43 / 142.57
Trigger: Close at 50% max gain or if price nears strikes; roll if challenged.
Higher premium than iron condor but unlimited risk; suits confident range view.
Outperforms: Sells OTM put and call to capture time decay and IV crush.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.
Bear Put Spread Hedge
Buy 2026-06-18 $106.00/$105.00 put spread
Debit: $0.18-$0.21
Max loss: $0.21
Max gain: $0.79
BE: $105.79
Trigger: Hold through earnings; exit if price rallies above 120.
Aligned with unusual put activity and downside risk; limited capital at risk.
Outperforms: Buys 106 put, sells 105 put to profit from small decline.
Underperforms: Trade above resistance weakens downside thesis.
Long strangle
Buy 2026-06-18 $106.00 put + buy $120.00 call
Debit: $5.81-$7.11
Max loss: $7.11
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 98.89 / 127.11
Unusual put flow hints downside, upside possible; cheaper than straddle.
Outperforms: Cheaper long-vol; strikes 107 put 115 call.
Underperforms: Insufficient realized move reduces long-strangle edge.

Risk Assessment

!Downside risk: 10% drop to $105 supports put floor.
!Upside capped at $120 resistance; call wall at $150.

What to Watch

?Earnings on Jul 23; guidance key.
?Sector semis performance post-Nvidia.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 11, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.