thetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $111.78EOD only
Max Pain
$111.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.87
3.5% from close
Price Gap
-0.78
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
59
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.04
Balanced positioning
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 4, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

Bullish flow, high beat rate (80%), long-dated earnings; confidence high.

Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.7% from MP; +1 VIX 15
Most important: Call OI wall at $150, put floor $60-$80, pinning at $111.
🚀$66 call 42x vol/OI
⚠️High IV in deep ITM calls
📊Net premium $166M, put/call vol 0.41

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
At
Gamma flip: ~$80.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 21,376 (28.4% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (49 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-05 (1d): ±$3.87 (3.5%)
  • 2026-06-12 (8d): ±$10.30 (9.2%)
  • 2026-06-18 (14d): ±$13.65 (12.2%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Front-end elevated; 1d ±3.5%, 8d ±9.2%, 14d ±12.2%.

Crush estimate: Large crush after event, gradual decay due to 49d.

Skew: Put OI ratio 1.04 shows balanced skew.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Beat rate 80% suggests moves often exceed expectations.

Directional bias: Bullish from flow and beat history.

Key Levels

1$80.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $107.91/$115.65; 1w $101.48/$122.08
3Max pain pins: $111 (2026-06-05); $110 (2026-06-12); $50 (2026-06-18)

Flow Highlights

$66 call 42x vol/OI, IV 416%

Leveraged bullish bet or synthetic long.

$109 call 15x vol/OI, IV 75%

Aggressive call buying above spot.

Strategies

Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $110.00/$120.00 call spread
Debit: $3.40-$4.15
Max loss: $4.15
Max gain: $5.85
BE: $114.15
Trigger: Exit if stock below $111; roll up on strong move.
Captures upside with defined risk; aligns with bullish flow and 80% beat rate.
Outperforms: Debit spread for post-earnings momentum.
Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.
Iron Condor
Sell 2026-06-12 $105.00/$102.00 put wing and $110.00/$120.00 call wing
Credit: $4.03-$4.93
Max loss: $5.07
Max gain: $4.93
BE: 100.07 / 114.93
Trigger: Close at 50% max gain or before earnings.
Exploits elevated IV and pinning at $111; theta decay with tight wings.
Outperforms: Short volatility play in high IV with limited risk.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Long Strangle
Buy 2026-08-21 $105.00 put + buy $120.00 call
Debit: $24.05-$29.40
Max loss: $29.40
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 75.60 / 149.40
Trigger: Profit target at 100% premium; exit if IV collapses.
Non-directional bet on large move; high beat rate supports.
Outperforms: Buying puts and calls for volatility expansion.
Underperforms: Insufficient realized move reduces long-strangle edge.

Risk Assessment

!Earnings 49d away implies theta decay risk.
!Potential gamma squeeze near $111 pin.
!Low put/call volume ratio but high net premium.

What to Watch

?Spot vs $111 max pain pin.
?$66 call OI changes.
?VIX trend at 15.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 4, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.