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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $119.84EOD only
Max Pain
$107.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.95
8.3% from close
Price Gap
-12.84
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
70
High premium
P/C OI
1.08
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

INTC setup bullish with heavy call flow and 80% beat rate. Earnings in 3 days; near-term gamma pinning and call OI wall suggest cautious optimism.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 12.3% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Most important: Unprecedented call volume in $126C and $160C indicates strong upside conviction into earnings.
🐂80% beat rate and record call flow suggest bullish bias.
📌Max pain $110 pins near-term options; spot above at ~$114.
⚠️High IV and imminent earnings mean time decay risk is elevated.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (58 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-05-29 (3d): ±$9.20 (7.4%)
  • 2026-06-05 (10d): ±$15.40 (12.5%)
  • 2026-06-12 (17d): ±$19.17 (15.5%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping; near-term IV elevated by 7.4% move expected in 3 days.

Crush estimate: Moderate after Jul 23 event; current IV priced for ~15% move over 17 days.

Skew: Call skew steep due to high OI at $130-$150; puts relatively cheap.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Historical moves average within expected ranges; last 5 quarters saw 3 beats >10%.

Directional bias: Bullish; 80% beat rate with consistent upside post-earnings.

Key Levels

1EM guardrails: 2d $114.32/$132.72; 1w $108.12/$138.92
2Max pain pins: $110 (2026-05-29); $110 (2026-06-05); $110 (2026-06-12)

Flow Highlights

Massive call buying across multiple expirations: $126C, $160C, $123C with vol/OI ratios >10.

Institutional positioning for a strong move higher; sentiment extremely bullish.

Strategies

Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $120.00/$130.00 call spread
Debit: $3.40-$4.15
Max loss: $4.15
Max gain: $5.85
BE: $124.15
Trigger: Exit at 50% gain or at expiry
Best risk/reward given 80% beat rate and heavy call flow
Outperforms: Captures upside with defined risk expiring after earnings
Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.
Long Straddle
Buy 2026-08-21 $135.00 put + buy $135.00 call
Debit: $39.69-$48.51
Max loss: $48.51
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 86.49 / 183.51
Trigger: Set profit target at 2x premium
Hedges direction but profits from large move; call volume suggests high IV
Outperforms: Non-directional play on volatility expansion
Underperforms: Under-realized move and IV crush hurt long-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!High IV with 3 days to event; time decay accelerates rapidly.
!Gamma pinning at $110 near-term may limit short-term upside.
!Call OI wall at $130-$150 provides heavy resistance.

What to Watch

?Spot action around $110 max pain and $130 resistance.
?Volume in $126C and $160C for sustained bullish conviction.
?VIX trajectory and overall market risk appetite.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.