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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $110.80EOD only
Max Pain
$109.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.35
7.5% from close
Price Gap
-1.80
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
51
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.10
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 19, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close May 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 15, 2026. A newer earnings report is available for May 19, 2026.

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Earnings Verdict

Earnings 69 days out; strong call flow and historical 80% beat rate suggest bullish skew.

Confidence:
3.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; -1 spot 14.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Most important: Focus on flow and IV skew; near-term moves moderate.
📈Large Sep $180 call block (30x OI) signals long-term bullish bet.
⚠️Near-term $109-$112 calls elevated vol (15-22x OI) may be closing.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Trending
Flow Regime
Mixed
Spot vs MP
Above

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (69 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-05-22 (7d): ±$9.97 (9.2%)
  • 2026-05-29 (14d): ±$13.30 (12.2%)
  • 2026-06-05 (21d): ±$16.38 (15.1%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping; near-term IV 22-31%, long-dated >80% due to earnings.

Crush estimate: Earnings IV crush expected 30-40% post-July 23.

Skew: Put skew elevated at low strikes; call wall at $120.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Recent moves within expected range.

Directional bias: Neutral-bullish given high beat rate and call flow.

Key Levels

1EM guardrails: 1w $98.79/$118.74
2Max pain pins: $95 (2026-05-15); $110 (2026-05-22); $100 (2026-05-29)

Flow Highlights

Heavy call buying across expirations, net premium $102M positive.

Long-dated $180 call volume 30x OI signals bullish positioning.

Strategies

Bullish Range Iron Condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $100.00/$87.50 put wing and $130.00/$150.00 call wing
Credit: $5.43-$6.63
Max loss: $13.37
Max gain: $6.63
BE: 93.37 / 136.63
Trigger: Take profit 50% max, adjust on breakouts.
Expected range 100-115, high IV, defined risk.
Outperforms: Captures premium using wings at support/resistance.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Short Strangle
Sell 2026-06-18 $92.50 put + sell $140.00 call
Credit: $5.73-$7.01
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $7.01
BE: 85.49 / 147.01
Trigger: Roll if spot breaks $100 or $130.
Higher credit but unlimited risk, support at 100.
Outperforms: Sells OTM put/call for premium in high IV.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Near-term moves not earnings-driven.
!Put floor at $55-$70 offers support.
!Call OI wall at $120 may cap upside.

What to Watch

?Spot relative to $109 max pain.
?Gamma shift if spot breaks $95 or $122.
?IV ramp as earnings approaches.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on May 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.