thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $33.46EOD only
Max Pain
$30.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.92
5.7% from close
Price Gap
-2.96
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
8
Low premium
P/C OI
0.82
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 15, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 20, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 not 7 because mixed flow and earnings tail risk offset the strong GEX and call buying alignment; conviction limited by inability to resolve hedging vs. pinning.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on near-term pin near $31 max pain with dealer gamma support and slight bullish drift toward $32 resistance, but mixed flow and tail hedging limit conviction.

Where They Diverge

Flow’s negative net premium and deep OTM put hedging at $20 contradict the bullish pin thesis, suggesting institutional caution and tail risk that could cap upside.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell 2026-05-29 $29.00/$27.50 put spread for credit — collects premium while relying on pin above $29 support.

Key Risk

Break below $30 triggers dealer gamma flip and accelerates downside toward $28.56 support, invalidating the pin thesis across all personas.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.