thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $32.00EOD only
Max Pain
$31.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.69
5.3% from close
Price Gap
-1.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
65
High premium
P/C OI
0.82
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because Theta's reversion risk and high near-term skew create uncertainty despite otherwise aligned bullish signals; conviction rises if spot holds above $32 and VIX stays below 22.

Where Perspectives Agree

Strong bullish bias with dealer gamma pinning near $31-35 and heavy call accumulation; all personas see upward drift supported by positive GEX and flow.

Where They Diverge

Theta flags mean reversion risk to $31 max pain due to spot being 6.5% above and extreme 1d IV skew, contradicting directional/flow's continued bullish continuation view.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell June 18 $29/$28 put spread for $0.65 credit — defined risk, high IV, and bullish bias.

Key Risk

Break below $31 (max pain) invalidates bull thesis; dealer gamma flips long, accelerating decline to $28 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.