thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $46.09EOD only
Max Pain
$33.50
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.46
5.3% from close
Price Gap
-12.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
99
High premium
P/C OI
0.72
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 17, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 because gamma pinning and aligned theta opportunities give a reliable short-term framework, but a near-term earnings binary plus mixed flow reduces certainty and prevents a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is range-bound with a mild bullish tilt into $25–30; dealer gamma pinning creates a defensible floor around $25 that favors selling premium and buying pullbacks rather than naked directional longs.

Where They Diverge

Flow signals institutional accumulation and continued bid into expiries while earnings/IV term structure point to a front-loaded binary where post-release mean-reversion is likely — institutional accumulation implies continuation but earnings structure implies a likely fade after the print, directly contradicting each other.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 2026 $26/$24 put spread for a net credit (~$0.60–$0.85 credit expected).

Key Risk

Close below $25 (sustained break) flips dealer gamma from pinning to short, triggering accelerated selling to about $22.50 and invalidating the range-bound/premium-selling thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.