thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $33.46EOD only
Max Pain
$30.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.92
5.7% from close
Price Gap
-2.96
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
8
Low premium
P/C OI
0.82
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 20, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because put hedging at $32.5-$34 and earnings uncertainty cap upside conviction despite strong alignment.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas see bullish pinning to $30-$35 driven by positive GEX and strong bullish flow, with premium selling opportunities due to elevated IV.

Where They Diverge

Flow persona notes heavy put hedging at $32.5-$34, directly undermining directional bullish continuation, while earnings persona's steep term structure implies uncertainty conflicting with theta's high confidence.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $31/$29 put credit spread for $0.65 credit, defined risk, profiting from bullish pin.

Key Risk

Break below $32.5 flips flow negative, reveals hedging intent, accelerates to $30 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 20, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.