thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $30.66EOD only
Max Pain
$30.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.85
9.3% from close
Price Gap
-0.16
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.67
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.5

out of 10

7.5 not 9 because earnings in 43 days introduces binary event risk that could invalidate the pin; flow and GEX align strongly, but high IV also warns of vol crush post-catalyst.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $36-$37 supported by positive GEX, massive call flow, and elevated IV creating premium selling opportunities.

Where They Diverge

Theta's put credit spread expects spot to stay above $30 near-term, but earnings' short strangle suggests range-bound post-event move that could gap either direction, conflicting with directional's bullish call spread.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-08-21 $34.00/$31.00 put spread for $1.20 credit — defined risk, profits from pin above $34, and aligns with theta decay.

Key Risk

Break below $30 gamma flip reverses dealer positioning to long gamma, triggering stop-loss cascade and accelerating downside to $28 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.