thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $29.22EOD only
Max Pain
$31.50
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.66
5.7% from close
Price Gap
+2.28
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
74
High premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 7.5 because GEX negative and spot below max pain create downside risk if market turns, and earnings are 48 days away reducing immediate catalyst alignment.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish short-term bias with pin to $31 max pain supported by aggressive call flow and strong dealer delta, despite negative GEX amplifying moves.

Where They Diverge

Directional pin thesis expects limited upside above $31 due to max pain, but Flow shows heavy call buying at $30.5/$33 suggesting speculative breakout, while Earnings notes call OI wall at $32-$40 capping upside.

Top Trade
via earnings

Sell 2026-07-17 $27.00/$32.00 short strangle for $2.50 credit

Key Risk

Break below $20 flips dealer gamma long, triggering stop-loss cascade and accelerating downside to $18 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.