thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $32.79EOD only
Max Pain
$30.50
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.17
6.6% from close
Price Gap
-2.29
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
54
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.83
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Neutral tilt
Published snapshot: May 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 12, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 8 because flow's negative net premium and high put skew indicate tail risk, capping conviction despite broad alignment on pinning.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas align on a bullish pin near $31, supported by dealer gamma, call-dominated flow, and high IV favoring premium selling, with upside capped at $33.69.

Where They Diverge

Earnings 83 days out removes near-term catalyst, while flow shows negative net premium despite bullish call activity, suggesting caution that tempers the bullish thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $30.00/$27.00 put spread for $0.85 credit — defined risk, profits from pin above $30, and exploits elevated IV.

Key Risk

Break below $30 invalidates pin, flipping dealer gamma long and triggering stop-loss cascade, accelerating to $28 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.