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SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $37.10EOD only
Max Pain
$31.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.61
7.0% from close
Price Gap
-6.10
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
24
Low premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 because dealer gamma and clustered flow create a credible short-term magnet to $25 that favors defined-risk selling, but elevated front-month IV and an imminent earnings binary materially cap conviction; the score sits mid-range reflecting alignment on pinning but meaningful event upside/downside that can wipe short premium quickly.

Where Perspectives Agree

Near-term pinning into the $25 area driven by dealer short-gamma and clustered call flow, creating a theta-rich environment where defined-risk premium selling captures carry while directional upside remains limited to the upper-$20s.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven binary risk and steep front-month IV directly undermine the premium-selling/directional pin thesis — a strong post-earnings move or IV term-structure skew that re-prices front-month volatility would invalidate the income approach. Flow and directional signals align on pinning, but the earnings persona implies a high-probability fade/reprice that is incompatible with confident naked or lightly-hedged short exposure.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 25/24 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk premium sell), expected credit ~$0.20-$0.35

Key Risk

A decisive intraday break and close below $24.00 flips dealer gamma positioning (removes the pin) and triggers rapid downside acceleration to the $20.00 gap/support area, invalidating the short-premium/pinning thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.