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SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $25.97EOD only
Max Pain
$24.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.64
6.3% from close
Price Gap
-1.97
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
2
Low premium
P/C OI
0.83
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

Score 5 because on-balance signals (GEX pinning + OI walls) create a credible short-term magnet, but mixed flow, net negative premium, high IV and an earnings/event regime meaningfully raise asymmetric tail risk — enough to trade around the pin but not to take large directional bets uncovered.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market structure favors a short-premium, pin-to-$26 outcome in the near term — dealer gamma concentration at $26 plus concentrated call walls creates a magnet with limited immediate upside.

Where They Diverge

Flow and earnings viewpoints introduce a substantive contradiction: institutional flow and pre/post-earnings positioning imply significant directional fragility that can produce one-way moves (either accumulation into strength or quick distribution into the print), which undermines the directional pin thesis if a large block unloads or if earnings trigger a re-pricing; additionally, elevated IV cuts both ways — it supports premium selling but also signals a latent event risk that could vaporize short-premium strategies.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 01 2026 $25/$22.50 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk premium sell)

Key Risk

A break below $20.00 that closes and prints sustained volume (5%+ one-day drop) flips dealer gamma to directional selling and rapidly accelerates downside toward $17.50, removing the $26 pin and invalidating short-premium positioning.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for SMCI for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.