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PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $107.27EOD only

Max Pain

$120.00

Next expiry Jun 26, 2026

Expected Move

±$3.23

3.0% from close

Price Gap

+12.73

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Low premium

P/C OI

0.87

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

4.0/10

Bearish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 25, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 25, 2026 close

PLTR Earnings Report

Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

PLTR earnings Aug 3; IV elevated; historical beat rate 100% supports bullish bias; pin at $112.

Confidence:

6.5 / 10

base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.8% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Most important: 100% beat rate and elevated IV on 38-day event.

📊100% beat rate but high IV may cap upside.

⚠️IV crush on event; avoid holding premium into earnings.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime

High

Gamma Regime

Pinning

Flow Regime

Mixed

Spot vs MP

Gamma flip: ~$110.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 21,017 (2.6% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (38 days)explicit

Expected moves:

2026-07-02 (6d): ±$6.16 (5.5%)
2026-07-10 (14d): ±$8.65 (7.7%)
2026-07-17 (21d): ±$10.88 (9.6%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: 6d ±5.5%, 14d ±7.7%, 21d ±9.6%.

Crush estimate: Estimated 40-50% IV crush post-earnings.

Skew: Slight put skew, put floor $100, call wall $140-$155.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not available, but beat rate 100%.

Directional bias: Bullish

Key Levels

1$110.00 gamma flip

2EM guardrails: 1w $106.78/$119.09

3Max pain pins: $112 (2026-06-26); $115 (2026-07-02); $125 (2026-07-10)

Flow Highlights

Large vol/oi in $113 calls (18.8x) and puts (16.6x) on Aug 4 expiry.

Positioning for pin or straddle around $113.

$111 calls with high IV (50.1%) and vol/oi 5.5x on Aug 4 expiry.

Unusual call activity suggests bullish speculation.

Strategies

Iron Condor

Sell 2026-07-02 $110.00/$105.00 put wing and $115.00/$120.00 call wing

Credit: $2.14-$2.62

Max loss: $2.38

Max gain: $2.62

BE: 107.38 / 117.62

Trigger: Exit at 50% max gain or before expiry if spot nears wings.

Highest probability given high IV and pin action near $112; captures crush with defined risk.

Outperforms: Sell put and call wings to profit from post-earnings IV crush and limited movement.

Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.

Bull Call Spread

Buy 2026-08-21 $120.00/$125.00 call spread

Debit: $1.69-$2.06

Max loss: $2.06

Max gain: $2.94

BE: $122.06

Trigger: Roll up if spot rallies early; cut loss if below $112 support.

Aligned with 100% beat rate and bullish bias; defined risk mitigates IV crush.

Outperforms: Buy call spread to benefit from upside move with limited downside.

Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.

Long Strangle

Buy 2026-08-21 $110.00 put + buy $120.00 call

Debit: $14.38-$17.57

Max loss: $17.57

Max gain: Unlimited

BE: 92.43 / 137.57

Trigger: Close immediately post-earnings to minimize crush; set stop-loss at 50% premium.

Unlimited upside potential but high IV crush risk; less favorable given 40-50% crush estimated.

Outperforms: Buy put and call hoping for large earnings move beyond $110-$120.

Underperforms: Insufficient realized move reduces long-strangle edge.

Risk Assessment

!Miss probability low but possible given high IV.

!Gamma flip if spot breaks below $110 support.

!IV crush risk for premium holders.

What to Watch

?Spot relative to $112 max pain.

?Unusual option activity leading to earnings.

?Market volatility (VIX 18.4).

How to Use These Reports

This earnings reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.