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PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $133.25EOD only
Max Pain
$130.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.24
3.2% from close
Price Gap
-3.25
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
95
High premium
P/C OI
0.90
Balanced positioning
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
PLTR Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

PLTR 100% beat rate, bullish flow, but heavy put activity near money. IV elevated long gap to earnings.

Confidence:
5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +0.5 spot 1.3% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Most important: Near-term put hedging alert; structural call wall overhead.
🔍100% beat rate but 47-day gap; IV elevated.
🐻Heavy put accumulation at $134 and $132 strikes.
📊Call wall $140-$170 may cap rallies.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Trending
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$120.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 25,341 (8.1% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (47 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (1d): ±$3.38 (2.6%)
  • 2026-06-26 (9d): ±$8.00 (6.1%)
  • 2026-07-02 (15d): ±$10.25 (7.8%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: near-term 2.6% 1d, 6.1% 9d, 7.8% 15d premiums.

Crush estimate: Significant crush post-earnings; estimated 30-50% IV drop.

Skew: Elevated put skew at high strikes ($175, $180) from hedging or lottery selling.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not available; 100% beat rate but no historical move data.

Directional bias: Neutral: bullish flow balanced by put accumulation.

Key Levels

1$120.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $127.25/$134.01; 1w $122.63/$138.63
3Max pain pins: $129 (2026-06-18); $134 (2026-06-26); $139 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

Heavy put volume on 2026-06-18 $134 put (13,392 vol vs 2,171 OI).

Likely hedging or bearish bets near current price.

Unusual put volume at $175-$180 strikes with high IV (186-207%).

Tail risk hedging or speculative put selling.

Strategies

Range Capture Condor
Sell 2026-06-26 $130.00/$125.00 put wing and $135.00/$140.00 call wing
Credit: $2.74-$3.34
Max loss: $1.66
Max gain: $3.34
BE: 126.66 / 138.34
Trigger: Close at 50% max gain or if spot breaches $130 or $140.
Elevated IV and defined support/resistance make range-bound trade highest probability.
Outperforms: Sells OTM put/call wings to collect premium from high IV.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Bullish Debit Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $135.00/$145.00 call spread
Debit: $3.08-$3.77
Max loss: $3.77
Max gain: $6.23
BE: $138.77
Trigger: Exit if spot drops below $130 or at 50% loss.
Maintains bullish bias with defined risk; cheaper than outright calls.
Outperforms: Buy call spread to profit from upside; limited risk.
Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.
Bearish Debit Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $135.00/$130.00 put spread
Debit: $2.43-$2.97
Max loss: $2.97
Max gain: $2.03
BE: $132.03
Trigger: Exit if spot rises above $140 or at 50% loss.
Hedge against downside; put wall supports but IV high.
Outperforms: Buy put spread to profit from downside; limited risk.
Underperforms: Trade above resistance weakens downside thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Downside gamma risk from put wall near $130.
!Earnings gap risk with 47 days of premium decay.
!Resistance from call wall $140-$170.

What to Watch

?Spot action relative to EM guardrails $127.25/$134.01 (2d).
?Put volume concentration at $130 for gamma flip.
?Unusual print continuation into close.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.