thetaOwl

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $127.99EOD only
Max Pain
$130.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.35
5.0% from close
Price Gap
+2.01
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.89
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
PLTR Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

Bullish setup ahead of earnings: strong flow, 100% beat rate, IV elevated but crush expected.

Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.6% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Most important: Flow and GEX strongly bullish; monitor $130 support and $145 resistance.
🚨Heavy call buying: 12,838 contracts $142C Jun18, 9.4x OI.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$120.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 25,631 (10.9% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (49 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (3d): ±$5.27 (3.9%)
  • 2026-06-26 (11d): ±$8.80 (6.5%)
  • 2026-07-02 (17d): ±$10.92 (8.1%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Elevated across expiries, front-end highest due to event uncertainty.

Crush estimate: ~10-15% crush post-earnings based on typical moves.

Skew: Slight put skew near term; call OI wall above $150.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Stock avg 4.2% vs implied 3.9%.

Directional bias: Bullish: 100% beat rate (5/5 quarters).

Key Levels

1$120.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $129.44/$139.98
3Max pain pins: $130 (2026-06-18); $137 (2026-06-26); $140 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

Heavy call buying at $142-$144 Jun18; put buying at $132 Jul2.

Aggressive bullish positioning for near-term upside.

Strategies

Earnings Premium Harvest
Sell 2026-07-24 $130.00 put + sell $144.00 call
Credit: $9.63-$11.77
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $11.77
BE: 118.23 / 155.77
Trigger: Monitor $130 and $144 levels; adjust if broken.
Elevated IV and defined support/resistance allow premium collection before earnings; bullish flow but range-bound expected.
Outperforms: Short strangle capitalizes on high IV and pinning, targeting IV crush.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.
Earnings Breakout Capture
Buy 2026-08-21 $140.00 put + buy $140.00 call
Debit: $23.54-$28.77
Max loss: $28.77
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 111.23 / 168.77
Trigger: Set profit target at 50% of max loss; close early if IV spikes.
100% beat rate and elevated IV suggest large move; straddle gains from directional volatility.
Outperforms: Long straddle profits from any post-earnings move exceeding implied.
Underperforms: Under-realized move and IV crush hurt long-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Volatility expansion if earnings surprise
!GEX pinning may cause sharp move after pin release

What to Watch

?$130 support and $145 resistance levels
?Volume at $150 call wall
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.