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PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $113.50EOD only
Max Pain
$123.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.12
3.6% from close
Price Gap
+9.50
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
4
Low premium
P/C OI
0.89
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
PLTR Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

PLTR earnings 39 days out; 100% beat history; heavy put flow near expiry suggests hedging.

Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -1 spot 10.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Most important: IV elevated, term structure upward, put skew elevated.
📊100% beat rate last 5 quarters, but current put flow heavy
🛡️Heavy put buying at 0DTE strikes suggests hedging or bearish tilt
🔥Unusual call volume on $110 0DTE with 96.9 vol/OI ratio

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Trending
Flow Regime
Mixed
Spot vs MP
Below
Gamma flip: ~$100.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,441 (6.8% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (39 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-26 (1d): ±$3.22 (3.0%)
  • 2026-07-02 (7d): ±$6.89 (6.4%)
  • 2026-07-10 (15d): ±$9.33 (8.7%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: 1d 3%, 7d 6.4%, 15d 8.7%

Crush estimate: ~3% post-event

Skew: Put skew elevated; heavy put OI $100-$108

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Consistent with historical moves; beat rate 100%

Directional bias: Bullish based on beat history, cautious due to put flow

Key Levels

1$100.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $104.04/$110.49; 1w $100.37/$114.16
3Max pain pins: $120 (2026-06-26); $118 (2026-07-02); $127 (2026-07-10)

Flow Highlights

Unusual call volume on $110 0DTE (vol/OI 96.9)

Speculative upside betting near expiration

Heavy put buying at $106-$108 0DTE

Hedging or bearish positioning

Strategies

Bullish Call Diagonal
Sell 2026-07-31 $119.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $110.00 call
Debit: $5.47-$6.69
Max loss: $6.69
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Close if stock breaks below $100 support; roll if IV spikes.
Upward IV term structure and 100% beat history favor short-term vs long-term call spread.
Outperforms: Sells near-term call, buys far-term call to profit from IV expansion and bullish move.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.
Wider Bullish Diagonal
Sell 2026-07-31 $126.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $110.00 call
Debit: $6.64-$8.11
Max loss: $8.11
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Manage if stock fails to hold above $110; adjust if IV collapses.
Elevated put skew and bullish bias favor higher short strike for more upside room.
Outperforms: Similar structure with higher short strike (126) to capture more upside with less early assignment risk.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.

Risk Assessment

!High IV and short-dated gamma risk near max pain $120
!Put concentration below spot acts as support but risks pin
!Earnings 39 days out; IV could increase further

What to Watch

?Max pain $120 for 0DTE; put floor $100-$108
?Resistance $116.59; support $100
?VIX at 19; macro correlation
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.