thetaOwl

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $116.70EOD only
Max Pain
$126.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.98
4.3% from close
Price Gap
+9.30
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
0.91
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
PLTR Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

PLTR earnings 40d out; high IV, heavy call flow but spot below MP; historical 100% beat rate.

Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -1 spot 7.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Most important: Call OI wall $140-$155 vs put floor $100; gamma flip at $110.
📈Heavy call buying near spot suggests bullish bias.
⚠️Spot 7.7% below max pain, potential pin.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Trending
Flow Regime
Mixed
Spot vs MP
Below
Gamma flip: ~$110.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 21,893 (3.1% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (40 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-26 (2d): ±$4.11 (3.6%)
  • 2026-07-02 (8d): ±$7.28 (6.4%)
  • 2026-07-10 (16d): ±$9.75 (8.6%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: 2d 3.6%, 8d 6.4%, 16d 8.6%.

Crush estimate: High, expect ~30-50% crush post-earnings.

Skew: Slight call skew; put/call OI ratio 0.89.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: 100% beat rate but move magnitude not given.

Directional bias: Neutral; insufficient data.

Key Levels

1$110.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $109.39/$117.61; 1w $106.22/$120.78
3Max pain pins: $123 (2026-06-26); $122 (2026-07-02); $130 (2026-07-10)

Flow Highlights

Unusual call buying: 7.7k vol on 114C, 9.1k on 115C, 21k on 118C.

Bullish sentiment near term; traders positioning for upside.

Put buying: 13k vol on 113P, 9k on 112P.

Hedging downside, but smaller scale than calls.

Strategies

Iron Condor Pre-Earnings
Sell 2026-07-31 $110.00/$105.00 put wing and $120.00/$123.00 call wing
Credit: $2.48-$3.03
Max loss: $1.97
Max gain: $3.03
BE: 106.97 / 123.03
Trigger: Exit before earnings or defend wings.
Only candidate; captures high IV crush and neutral bias.
Outperforms: Sells put/call wings pre-earnings to earn premium from IV contraction.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.

Risk Assessment

!IV crush post-earnings could hurt premium buyers.
!Spot below max pain supports potential pin action.
!Gamma flip at $110; breakdown risk if breached.

What to Watch

?$110 support (put floor and gamma flip).
?$123 resistance (max pain for 6/26).
?Call OI at $140-$155 as significant resistance.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.