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PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $134.71EOD only
Max Pain
$130.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.27
3.9% from close
Price Gap
-4.71
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.93
Balanced positioning
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
PLTR Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

PLTR 48 days to earnings; 100% historical beat rate; strong bull flow with $22.9M net premium, low put/call vol ratio 0.54; gamma pinning near $130-$140.

Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 VIX 16
Most important: Unusual put activity at $118 (14.6x vol/oi) suggests hedging; call accumulation at $133-$137 shows upside bias; resistance at $140 call wall.
🔔100% historical beat rate over 5 quarters; strong earnings track record.
⚠️Unusual put activity at $118 (14.6x vol/oi) could signal downside hedging.
📈Net premium +$22.9M; call volume dominates (put/call vol 0.54).

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$120.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 25,529 (9.9% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (48 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (2d): ±$4.24 (3.2%)
  • 2026-06-26 (10d): ±$8.22 (6.2%)
  • 2026-07-02 (16d): ±$10.37 (7.8%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: 2d ±3.2%, 10d ±6.2%, 16d ±7.8%

Crush estimate: Estimated 50-60% post-event

Skew: Elevated put skew near $129-$132, reflecting downside protection demand

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not explicitly given; 100% beat rate implies frequent upside moves

Directional bias: Bullish from consistent beats and strong flow

Key Levels

1$120.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $129.01/$137.49; 1w $125.03/$141.47
3Max pain pins: $130 (2026-06-18); $135 (2026-06-26); $140 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

Large put buying at $118 (14.6x vol/oi) for July 10, potentially protective

Hedging against downside risk

Aggressive call buying at $137 and $133 for June 26 expiration

Bullish sentiment targeting higher levels

10k+ put volume at $129 and $132 for June 18 weekly

Pinning activity near support

Strategies

Call Calendar Spread
Sell 2026-06-26 $140.00 call / buy 2026-07-24 $140.00 call
Debit: $3.34-$4.08
Max loss: $4.08
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Exit if PLTR breaks below $130 support.
Benefits from upward term structure and time decay; limited risk at $4.08.
Outperforms: Sell near-term call, buy later; profits from vol expansion and theta.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $150.00/$170.00 call spread
Debit: $3.22-$3.93
Max loss: $3.93
Max gain: $16.07
BE: $153.93
Trigger: Close or roll if PLTR drops below $130.
100% beat rate and strong call flow; cheap way to play upside.
Outperforms: Buy $150 call, sell $170 call; profit if PLTR rises above breakeven.
Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.
Long Strangle
Buy 2026-08-21 $120.00 put + buy $165.00 call
Debit: $8.73-$10.67
Max loss: $10.67
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 109.33 / 175.67
Trigger: Hold through earnings; exit if IV crush exceeds expected move.
Lower cost than straddle; captures large move without high premium.
Outperforms: Buy $120 put and $165 call; profits if PLTR moves significantly either way.
Underperforms: Insufficient realized move reduces long-strangle edge.
Long straddle
Buy 2026-08-21 $140.00 put + buy $140.00 call
Debit: $22.91-$28.00
Max loss: $28.00
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 112.00 / 168.00
Earnings catalyst, high vol ramp.
Outperforms: Capture large move post-earnings.
Underperforms: Under-realized move and IV crush hurt long-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!IV crush post-earnings estimated 50-60%
!Gamma flip at $120 indicates downside risk if support breaks
!Tech weakness: QQQ -1.9%, SPY -0.6%

What to Watch

?Max pain pins: $130 (Jun 18), $135 (Jun 26)
?Unusual put at $118: hedging intensifies on spot decline
?Call OI wall $140-$170: resistance cluster
?Earnings Aug 3; IV ramp approaching
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.