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PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $129.04EOD only
Max Pain
$127.00
Next expiry Jul 10, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.08
2.4% from close
Price Gap
-2.04
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
9
Low premium
P/C OI
0.89
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jul 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jul 9, 2026 close
PLTR Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 26, 2026. A newer earnings report is available for June 29, 2026.

View latest report

Earnings Verdict

PLTR 69d out, strong bullish flow & pinning. 100% beat rate. High IV.

Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Most important: Aggressive call accumulation and pinning near $136.
⚠️Lottery $240 calls: 1145 vol vs 158 OI, 100% IV, low probability.
📈Call activity heavy at $137 and $136, OTM calls accumulating.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
At
Gamma flip: ~$120.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 30,223 (12.2% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (69 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-05-29 (3d): ±$4.98 (3.6%)
  • 2026-06-05 (10d): ±$8.58 (6.3%)
  • 2026-06-12 (17d): ±$11.00 (8.1%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Front ~45% (3d), mid ~50% (10d), back ~55% (17d).

Crush estimate: Post-event crush ~10-15 pts IV.

Skew: Slight call skew OTM, put skew similar.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Hist avg ±5.7% vs implied 3.6% (3d).

Directional bias: Upward drift post-earnings (100% beat rate).

Key Levels

1$120.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $131.62/$141.58; 1w $128.03/$145.18
3Max pain pins: $136 (2026-05-29); $135 (2026-06-05); $136 (2026-06-12)

Flow Highlights

Large call buys at $137 (9.2k vol) and $136 (7.8k vol).

Bullish positioning, pinning near max pain $136.

Lottery $240 call (1.1k vol) and $147 call (9.5k vol).

Speculative upside bets, high IV.

Strategies

Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $145.00/$165.00 call spread
Debit: $4.99-$6.10
Max loss: $6.10
Max gain: $13.90
BE: $151.10
Trigger: Exit at $165 or near earnings; manage stop at $136 invalidation.
Only eligible candidate; captures PLTR's bullish drift with defined risk.
Outperforms: Buy $145/$165 call spread to profit from post-earnings upside while limiting downside.
Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Gamma flip at $120 (put OI 30k).
!VIX 17, market tail risk offsets.

What to Watch

?Price action at $140 resistance.
?Call OI wall $150-$155.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.