thetaOwl

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $135.26EOD only
Max Pain
$133.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.53
4.1% from close
Price Gap
-2.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
1.00
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 19, 2026 close
PLTR Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close May 20, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

PLTR earnings in 75 days; 100% beat rate; IV moderate; gamma pinning at $134-135.

Confidence:
6 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 VIX 17
Most important: 100% beat rate; put OI concentration signals downside hedging.
⚠️Put OI at $120 signals downside hedging.
📈100% beat rate supports bullish bias.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Mixed
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$120.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 31,672 (12.5% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (75 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-05-22 (2d): ±$4.20 (3.1%)
  • 2026-05-29 (9d): ±$7.77 (5.7%)
  • 2026-06-05 (16d): ±$10.75 (7.8%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Near-term IV 42-46% upward sloping; longer-dated IV elevated pre-earnings.

Crush estimate: 60-70% IV crush post-earnings typical.

Skew: Put skew elevated; OI concentrated 12.5% below spot.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not available.

Directional bias: Bullish (100% beat rate 5 quarters).

Key Levels

1$120.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $132.95/$141.34; 1w $129.37/$144.92
3Max pain pins: $134 (2026-05-22); $135 (2026-05-29); $135 (2026-06-05)

Flow Highlights

Unusual put vol 10.8K on $136P (vol/OI 12.7)

Aggressive downside hedge.

Unusual call vol 12.2K on $136C (vol/OI 2.1)

Bullish bets at key level.

Strategies

Iron Condor
Sell 2026-06-05 $130.00/$128.00 put wing and $140.00/$145.00 call wing
Credit: $2.00-$2.45
Max loss: $2.55
Max gain: $2.45
BE: 127.55 / 142.45
Trigger: Close at 50% profit or adjust if breakout
Defined risk, high POP in $130-$140 range
Outperforms: Sell put spread and call spread to collect premium
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Short Strangle
Sell 2026-06-05 $128.00 put + sell $145.00 call
Credit: $3.93-$4.80
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $4.80
BE: 123.20 / 149.80
Trigger: Roll if tested, close before earnings
Profits if stock stays between $128-$145, but unlimited risk
Outperforms: Sell OTM put and call to collect premium
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Gamma pinning at $134-135.
!Support $130, resistance $140.
!Call OI wall at $150-$155.

What to Watch

?Earnings 2026-08-03.
?Key level $134-135.
?Pre-earnings vol expansion.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on May 20, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.